On Epistemic Accounts of Luck

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Description

Epistemic accounts of luck define luck's chanciness condition relative to a subject's epistemic position. This could be put in terms of a subject's evidence or knowledge about whether the event will occur. I argue that both versions of the epistemic account fail. First, I give two types of counterexamples to the evidence-based approach. Then, I argue-contrary to the knowledge-based view-that an event can be a matter of good or bad luck for a subject even if she knows that it will occur. Lastly, I argue that epistemic accounts cannot explain some instances of constitutive luck. Because of these problems, luck's chanciness condition cannot be adequately defined epistemically.
Period15 Sept 2022
Held atDepartment of Philosophy