Abstract
We develop a dynamic utility model within a continuous-time framework to incorporate ambiguity overprecision regarding both the correlation and drift of price dynamics. We extend key results from optimal capital requirements theory in this framework. By employing an explicit approach, we determine the optimal liability-to-surplus ratio for a major insurer, shedding light on the profound impact of ambiguity overprecision. Our analysis reveals that accounting for ambiguity overprecision leads to an optimal liability-to-surplus ratio exceeding the benchmark established in the absence of such overprecision.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 105240 |
| Journal | Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control |
| Volume | 183 |
| Early online date | 7 Dec 2025 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | E-pub ahead of print - 7 Dec 2025 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2025 Elsevier B.V.
Keywords
- Ambiguity
- Optimal capital requirements
- Overprecision