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Ambiguity Overprecision and Optimal Capital Requirements in Continuous Time

  • Jingyuan LI
  • , Qian LIN*
  • , Weidong TIAN
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal PublicationsJournal Article (refereed)peer-review

Abstract

We develop a dynamic utility model within a continuous-time framework to incorporate ambiguity overprecision regarding both the correlation and drift of price dynamics. We extend key results from optimal capital requirements theory in this framework. By employing an explicit approach, we determine the optimal liability-to-surplus ratio for a major insurer, shedding light on the profound impact of ambiguity overprecision. Our analysis reveals that accounting for ambiguity overprecision leads to an optimal liability-to-surplus ratio exceeding the benchmark established in the absence of such overprecision.

Original languageEnglish
Article number105240
JournalJournal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Volume183
Early online date7 Dec 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2026

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 Elsevier B.V.

Keywords

  • Ambiguity
  • Optimal capital requirements
  • Overprecision

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