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An Account of Luck, Fortune, and Fate

Research output: Journal PublicationsJournal Article (refereed)peer-review

Abstract

Luck is one of our most important concepts. In this article, I first argue that extant accounts of luck are deeply flawed. I then argue for a hybrid account of luck that is based around the difference between skill-based and non-skill-based events. This distinction helps us understand the relationships between luck, (mis)fortune, non-agential chance, and fate. My account can also make sense of several difficult cases—for example, fair versus rigged lottery wins, the accidental versus non-accidental discovery of buried treasure, luck in athletic achievement, and constitutive luck.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere70119
JournalPhilosophy and Phenomenological Research
Early online date30 Apr 2026
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 30 Apr 2026

Bibliographical note

I would like to thank James Fanciullo, Adam Bradley, Dan Marshall, andan anonymous reviewer for their help with this article.

Publisher Copyright: © 2026 The Author(s). Philosophy and Phenomenological Research published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Philosophy and Phenonmenological Research Inc.

Funding

The work described in this article was substantially supported by a General Research Fund (GRF) grant project titled “On Luck” (LU13607224)from the Research Grants Council of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China.

Keywords

  • fate
  • fortune
  • luck
  • skill
  • the modal account of luck

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