Abstract
Original language | English |
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Publication status | Published - 21 Oct 2016 |
Event | 2016 Financial Management Association International (FMA) Annual Meeting - Rio Suites Hotel, Las Vagas, Nevada, United States Duration: 19 Oct 2016 → 22 Oct 2016 http://www.fma.org/Vegas/ |
Conference
Conference | 2016 Financial Management Association International (FMA) Annual Meeting |
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Country | United States |
City | Las Vagas, Nevada |
Period | 19/10/16 → 22/10/16 |
Internet address |
Fingerprint
Keywords
- Credit ratings
- market implied ratings
- credit risk
- rating gaps
- rating reversals
Cite this
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Are market implied ratings viable alternatives to credit ratings? / POON, Winnie P. H.; HASAN, Iftekhar; ZHANG, Gaiyan; SHEN, Jianfu.
2016. Paper presented at 2016 Financial Management Association International (FMA) Annual Meeting, Las Vagas, Nevada, United States.Research output: Other Conference Contributions › Conference Paper (other)
TY - CONF
T1 - Are market implied ratings viable alternatives to credit ratings?
AU - POON, Winnie P. H.
AU - HASAN, Iftekhar
AU - ZHANG, Gaiyan
AU - SHEN, Jianfu
PY - 2016/10/21
Y1 - 2016/10/21
N2 - This is the first comprehensive study to examine how market implied ratings (MIRs) perform relative to credit ratings (CRs) with respect to timeliness, responsiveness and stability for the period of 2002-2014. Our results suggest that MIRs derived from credit default swaps, bonds and stock prices lead CRs in general. MIRs are more responsive to credit risk measured by the expected default probability (EDP) calculated from Merton’s model (Merton, 1974). Rating gaps are larger when information asymmetry is more severe. Moreover, rating gaps help predict credit rating events. However, MIRs are less stable than CRs, measured by rating reversals. The results have important implications to regulators, policymakers, and market participants in the use of CRs and its possible market implied alternatives.
AB - This is the first comprehensive study to examine how market implied ratings (MIRs) perform relative to credit ratings (CRs) with respect to timeliness, responsiveness and stability for the period of 2002-2014. Our results suggest that MIRs derived from credit default swaps, bonds and stock prices lead CRs in general. MIRs are more responsive to credit risk measured by the expected default probability (EDP) calculated from Merton’s model (Merton, 1974). Rating gaps are larger when information asymmetry is more severe. Moreover, rating gaps help predict credit rating events. However, MIRs are less stable than CRs, measured by rating reversals. The results have important implications to regulators, policymakers, and market participants in the use of CRs and its possible market implied alternatives.
KW - Credit ratings
KW - market implied ratings
KW - credit risk
KW - rating gaps
KW - rating reversals
UR - http://fmaconferences.org/Vegas/VegasProgram.htm
UR - http://fmaconferences.org/Vegas/VegasProgram.pdf
M3 - Conference Paper (other)
ER -