What is it to believe something might be the case? We develop a puzzle that creates difficulties for standard answers to this question. We go on to propose our own solution, which integrates a Bayesian approach to belief with a dynamic semantics for epistemic modals. After showing how our account solves the puzzle, we explore a surprising consequence: virtually all of our beliefs about what might be the case provide counterexamples to the view that rational belief is closed under logical implication.
|Number of pages||28|
|Journal||The Review of Symbolic Logic|
|Early online date||8 Aug 2017|
|Publication status||Published - Mar 2018|
- belief reports
- dynamic semantics
- phrasesepistemic modals