Bounds analysis of competing risks : a non-parametric evaluation of the effect of unemployment benefits on migration

Melanie ARNTZ, Simon M. S. LO, Ralf A. WILKE

Research output: Journal PublicationsJournal Article (refereed)peer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)


By reexamining the effect of unemployment benefits on reemployment probabilities we make two contributions to the literature: first, we estimate separate effects for reemployment in the local or a distant region. Second, we address the problem of incomplete duration within a competing risks model. Our results confirm that missing data problems at first preclude anymeaningful result even though we have access to daily individual data on 50% of the male workforce in Germany. When we impose additional assumptions, we obtain evidence that the treatment effect depends on the household context, the treatment intensity and the destination state.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)199-228
Number of pages30
JournalEmpirical Economics
Issue number1
Early online date6 Jan 2013
Publication statusPublished - Feb 2014

Bibliographical note

Arntz gratefully acknowledges financial support by the German Research Foundation (DFG) through the research project “Potentials for more flexibility of regional labor markets by means of interregional labor mobility”.


  • Administrative data
  • Cumulative incidence curve
  • Difference-in-differences

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