Enlargement and the EU periphery : the impact of changing market potential

Marius BRÜLHART, Matthieu Daniel CROZET, Pamina KOENIG

Research output: Journal PublicationsJournal Article (refereed)

62 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We study the impact of changing relative market access in an enlarged EU on the economies of incumbent Objective 1 regions. First, we track the impact of external opening on internal spatial configurations in a three-region economic geography model. External opening gives rise to potentially offsetting economic forces, but for most parameter configurations it is found to raise the locational attractiveness of the region that is close to the external market. Then, we explore the relation between market access and economic activity empirically. We simulate the impact of enlargement on EU Objective 1 regions. Predicted market-access-induced gains in regional GDP and manufacturing employment are up to seven times larger in regions proximate to the new accession countries than in ‘interior’ EU regions. We also find that a future Balkans enlargement could be particularly effective in reducing economic inequalities among the EU periphery, due to the positive impact on relative market access of Greek regions.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)853-875
Number of pages23
JournalWorld Economy
Volume27
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jun 2004
Externally publishedYes

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