Abstract
Interfacial tension (IFT) critically governs multiphase flow, mass transfer, and wettability within natural and engineered water systems. Understanding its behavior is essential for assessing fluid interactions and CO2 migration during geological carbon sequestration. However, accurate quantification of CO2-brine IFT under in-situ reservoir conditions remains challenging due to the coupled effects of pressure, temperature, salinity, and ionic composition. In this study, a data-driven predictive framework integrating pendant-drop experiments with an extensive literature database was developed to characterize CO2-brine IFT under realistic subsurface conditions. Experiments were conducted at 313.15–363.15 K and 7.5–17 MPa using formation water from the South China Sea, complemented by 3,409 data points compiled from previous studies for model training and validation. A Bayesian-optimized XGBoost model achieved excellent agreement with measured data (R2 = 0.985), capturing nonlinear dependencies beyond conventional empirical correlations. SHAP analysis identified pressure as the primary factor influencing IFT, followed by temperature and ionic composition, and revealed distinct temperature-dependent variations even at constant pressure. These results provide advance insights into the water-phase interfacial processes governing CO2 transport and trapping, while the proposed framework offers a scalable, transferable approach for rapid IFT estimation across diverse subsurface and water-energy systems.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Article number | 139634 |
| Number of pages | 13 |
| Journal | Fuel |
| Volume | 427 |
| Issue number | Part A |
| Early online date | 1 May 2026 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | E-pub ahead of print - 1 May 2026 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2026 Elsevier Ltd.
Funding
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (52304098, 52106092, 52474105), Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province (2025A1515010748), Shenzhen Science and Technology Program (JCYJ20220818095605012, SYSRD20250529113200001), Research Team Cultivation Program of Shenzhen University (2023QNT004), Shenzhen University 2035 Initiative (2022B001), Shenzhen Guangming Science City Development and Construction Co., Ltd. and its Material Genome Big-Science Facilities Platform, for providing technical support and assistance in data collection and analysis, the High-Pressure Neutron Diffractometer (https://cstr.cn/31113.02.CSNS.HPND) operated by Southern University of Science and Technology and China Spallation Neutron Source (CSNS)(https://cstr.cn/31113.02.CSNS ).
Keywords
- Bayesian-optimizedXGBoost
- CO geological sequestration
- Data-driven modeling
- In-situ water-phase behavior
- Interfacial tension
- Two-phase fluid
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