Abstract
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 320-332 |
| Number of pages | 13 |
| Journal | Journal of Philosophy |
| Volume | 105 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| Publication status | Published - 1 Jun 2008 |
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Guilt by statistical association : revisiting the prosecutor’s fallacy and the interrogator’s fallacy. / SESARDIC, Neven.
In: Journal of Philosophy, Vol. 105, No. 6, 01.06.2008, p. 320-332.Research output: Journal Publications › Journal Article (refereed) › Research › peer-review
TY - JOUR
T1 - Guilt by statistical association : revisiting the prosecutor’s fallacy and the interrogator’s fallacy
AU - SESARDIC, Neven
PY - 2008/6/1
Y1 - 2008/6/1
N2 - The article focuses on prosecutor's fallacy and interrogator's fallacy, the two kinds of reasoning in inferring a suspect's guilt. The prosecutor's fallacy is a combination of two conditional probabilities that lead to unfortunate commission of error in the process due to the inclination of the prosecutor in the establishment of strong evidence that will indict the defendant. It provides a comprehensive discussion of Gerd Gigerenzer's discourse on a criminal case in Germany explaining the perils of prosecutor's fallacy in his application of probability to practical problems. It also discusses the interrogator's fallacy which was introduced by Robert A. J. Matthews as the error on the assumption that confessional evidence can never reduce the probability of guilt.
AB - The article focuses on prosecutor's fallacy and interrogator's fallacy, the two kinds of reasoning in inferring a suspect's guilt. The prosecutor's fallacy is a combination of two conditional probabilities that lead to unfortunate commission of error in the process due to the inclination of the prosecutor in the establishment of strong evidence that will indict the defendant. It provides a comprehensive discussion of Gerd Gigerenzer's discourse on a criminal case in Germany explaining the perils of prosecutor's fallacy in his application of probability to practical problems. It also discusses the interrogator's fallacy which was introduced by Robert A. J. Matthews as the error on the assumption that confessional evidence can never reduce the probability of guilt.
UR - http://commons.ln.edu.hk/sw_master/717
M3 - Journal Article (refereed)
VL - 105
SP - 320
EP - 332
JO - The Journal of Philosophy
JF - The Journal of Philosophy
SN - 0022-362X
IS - 6
ER -