Pricing of Arithmetic Average Asian Option by Combining Variance Reduction and Quasi-Monte Carlo Method

  • Lingling XU
  • , Hongjie ZHANG
  • , Fu Lee WANG*
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal PublicationsJournal Article (refereed)peer-review

2 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Financial derivatives have developed rapidly over the past few decades due to their risk-averse nature, with options being the preferred financial derivatives due to their flexible contractual mechanisms, particularly Asian options. The Black–Scholes stock option pricing model is often used in conjunction with Monte Carlo simulations for option pricing. However, the Black–Scholes model assumes that the volatility of asset returns is constant, which does not square with practical financial markets. Additionally, Monte Carlo simulation suffers from slow error convergence. To address these issues, we first correct the asset volatility in the Black–Scholes model using a GARCH model. Then, the low error convergence rate of the Monte Carlo method is improved using variance reduction techniques. Meanwhile, the quasi-Monte Carlo approach based on low discrepancy sequences is used to refine the error convergence rate. We also provide a simulation experiment and result analysis to validate the effectiveness of our proposed method.

Original languageEnglish
Article number594
Number of pages14
JournalMathematics
Volume11
Issue number3
Early online date23 Jan 2023
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Feb 2023
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

This article is partially translated and adapted from Lingling Xu’s unpublished master thesis entitled “Monte Carlo simulation improvement study of arithmetic average Asian option pricing” (In Chinese) submitted to Shangdong University, China, in 2018.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2023 by the authors.

Funding

This research received no external funding.

Keywords

  • Asian option pricing
  • GARCH model
  • low-discrepancy sequence
  • Monte Carlo method
  • variance reduction technique

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