Public Climate Attention and European Electricity Markets Systemic Risk: Evidence From Google Trends Data

  • Xingyu DAI
  • , Chi Keung LAU*
  • , Qunwei WANG
  • , Michal WOJEWODZKI
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal PublicationsJournal Article (refereed)peer-review

Abstract

This study constructs public climate attention (PCA) indices from 1134 Google Trends keywords and investigates their impact on the European electricity markets (EUEMs) systemic risk. The results show that the climate conference and climate risk opportunity attention indices affect the overall EUEMs' returns comovement. The composite PCA index leads to quantile spillovers among EUEMs' returns. These findings remain robust even after filtering out various types of exogenous information and across different market-level classifications. The study also finds that different PCA indices help predict EUEMs' returns volatility and hedge the electricity prices risk with hedging tools.
Original languageEnglish
JournalEuropean Financial Management
Early online date16 Nov 2025
DOIs
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 16 Nov 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.

Funding

This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Numbers 72503096 and 52270183) and the Jiangsu Funding Program for Excellent Postdoctoral Talent (Grant Number 2025ZB893).

Keywords

  • comovement analysis
  • electricity market
  • Google Trends data
  • mixed-data sampling
  • public climate attention
  • spillover network

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