Renegotiating Belt and Road cooperation : social resistance in a Sino–Myanmar copper mine

Debby Sze Wan CHAN*, Ngai PUN

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Journal PublicationsJournal Article (refereed)peer-review

Abstract

In what way can societal actors in transitional polities play a role in influencing bilateral economic agreements? Societal actors are often ignored in the state-centric international relations literature. We, however, contend that social resistance to a foreign development project can reshape the international outcome, even under an asymmetric bargaining structure, if two conditions are met: the host country’s policy options are conditioned by citizens’ resistance; and the home country is eager to continue cooperation. To make this argument, this paper examines the social resistance to the China-backed Letpadaung copper mine in Myanmar amid the host country’s democratisation. Employing a process-tracing technique and drawing upon extensive interviews from 2015–2019, official documents and secondary data, we argue that a popular anti-mining movement transformed a previous state-to-state bargaining process into a two-level game negotiation. As a result, the rise of societal actors was able to disrupt project implementation and extract concessions from China in exchange for project resumption.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2109-2129
Number of pages21
JournalThird World Quarterly
Volume41
Issue number12
Early online date29 Aug 2020
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 2020
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • asymmetric bargaining
  • Belt and Road Initiative
  • China
  • Myanmar
  • social movement

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