Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities

Neven SESARDIC

doi:10.1093/bjps/axm015

Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities

Neven SESARDIC

Department of Philosophy

Research output: Journal Publications › Journal Article (refereed) › peer-review

7 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this article I criticize the recommendations of some prominent statisticians about how to estimate and compare probabilities of the repeated sudden infant death and repeated murder. The issue has drawn considerable public attention in connection with several recent court cases in the UK. I try to show that when the three components of the Bayesian inference are carefully analyzed in this context, the advice of the statisticians turns out to be problematic in each of the steps.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	299-329
Number of pages	31
Journal	British Journal for the Philosophy of Science
Volume	58
Issue number	2
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1093/bjps/axm015
Publication status	Published - 1 Jun 2007

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SDG 16 Peace, Justice and Strong Institutions

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10.1093/bjps/axm015

Cite this

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AB - In this article I criticize the recommendations of some prominent statisticians about how to estimate and compare probabilities of the repeated sudden infant death and repeated murder. The issue has drawn considerable public attention in connection with several recent court cases in the UK. I try to show that when the three components of the Bayesian inference are carefully analyzed in this context, the advice of the statisticians turns out to be problematic in each of the steps.

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Sudden infant death or murder? A royal confusion about probabilities

Abstract

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